Following on from my recent post on levothyroxine monotherapy and cancer
healthunlocked.com/thyroidu... this post is about levothyroxine monotherapy increasing the risk of cardiac events and an early death.
This is not about levothyroxine being ‘bad’ in any way, it looks at the effects of a high normal fT4 on the heart and life expectancy.
The studies listed below show that high normal fT4 levels (compared to low normal levels) are associated with cardiovascular disease, atrial fibrillation, and reduced life expectancy. These associations vary in strength, but they all point in the same direction and the risks increase with age.
A word of caution. Some of the studies claim a link to ‘thyroid function’ when in fact the study has measured fT4 and possibly TSH, not fT3. This is poor science as it is not known whether fT3 is above or below average.
Generally, the association with fT4 is much stronger than with TSH, suggesting fT3 has minor, if any effect on cardiac health (provided fT3 and fT4 are within reference intervals).
The studies show that people with an fT4 in the lowest tertile live three and a half years longer than those with fT4 in the highest tertile. Levothyroxine monotherapy (and guidance) generally requires a high normal fT4 in order to achieve average fT3 and resolution of symptoms. Thus, the one third of people who would have been in the low-risk group prior to becoming hypothyroid are shunted across into the high-risk group.
When treating hypothyroidism, we have two choices. Do we use levothyroxine monotherapy with high fT4 levels and accept the risks of cancer, cardiac disease, and a reduced lifespan? Or do we use combination therapy which is safer and gives an extra three and a half years of healthy life?
When treating or advising patients we must use evidence-based medicine and recommend treatments that are known to be safer and, in some cases, more efficacious. If we follow the evidence, it is very clear that for most patients the use of levothyroxine monotherapy is unethical.
Levothyroxine monotherapy exposes patients to the risk of serious illness and shortens lifespan. Consequently, levothyroxine monotherapy should not be routinely offered to patients.
Abbreviations
Atrial fibrillation (AF) odds ratio (OR) hazard ratio (HR) cardiovascular disease (CVD)
References
1. Gammage MD, Parle JV, Holder RL, et al. Association Between Serum Free Thyroxine Concentration and Atrial Fibrillation. Arch Intern Med. 2007;167(9):928–934. doi:10.1001/archinte.167.9.928 jamanetwork.com/journals/ja...
Subjects age > 65. A 5 pmol/L increase in fT4 gives an odds ratio of 1.47 for AF. No link between TSH and AF.
“It is possible that serum free T4 is a more sensitive index of cardiac “thyroid status” than TSH and that the present findings reflect particular sensitivity of the heart to T4.”
2. Heeringa J, Hoogendoorn EH, van der Deure WM, et al. High-Normal Thyroid Function and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: The Rotterdam Study. Arch Intern Med. 2008;168(20):2219–2224. doi:10.1001/archinte.168.20.2219 doi.org/10.1001/archinte.16...
Average age 68.5. TSH lowest v highest quartile AF HR 1.94 fT4 highest v lowest quartile AF HR 1.62.
3. Anne R. Cappola, Alice M. Arnold, Kendra Wulczyn, Michelle Carlson, John Robbins, Bruce M. Psaty, Thyroid Function in the Euthyroid Range and Adverse Outcomes in Older Adults, The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism, Volume 100, Issue 3, 1 March 2015, Pages 1088–1096, doi.org/10.1210/jc.2014-3586
Age > 65, av. 74.5. fT4 associated with AF, heart failure & mortality (HRs 1.04, 1.04, 1.03). No association with tT3.
4. Bano A, Dhana K, Chaker L, Kavousi M, Ikram MA, Mattace-Raso FUS, Peeters RP, Franco OH. Association of Thyroid Function With Life Expectancy With and Without Cardiovascular Disease: The Rotterdam Study. JAMA Intern Med. 2017 Nov 1;177(11):1650-1657. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2017.4836 doi.org/10.1001/jamainternm... . Erratum in: JAMA Intern Med. 2017 Nov;177(11):1703. PMID: 28975207; PMCID: PMC5710266.
Age 64.7. At age 50 life expectancy for TSH in highest tertile was 2.0(M), 1.4(F) years longer than lowest tertile. Lowest tertile of fT4 lived 3.2(M), 3.5(F) years longer than highest tertile. Lower TSH and higher fT4 tertile also suffered CVD for more years.
5. Bano A, Chaker L, Mattace-Raso FUS, van der Lugt A, Ikram MA, Franco OH, Peeters RP, Kavousi M. Thyroid Function and the Risk of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Morbidity and Mortality: The Rotterdam Study. Circ Res. 2017 Dec 8;121(12):1392-1400. doi.org/10.1161/CIRCRESAHA.... doi.org/10.1161/CIRCRESAHA.... . Epub 2017 Oct 31. PMID: 29089349.
Age 64.8. Higher fT4 (within reference interval) strongly associated with coronary artery calcification, atherosclerotic cardiovascular events (ASCV) and ASCV mortality.
6. Bano A, Chaker L, Mattace-Raso FUS, Terzikhan N, Kavousi M, Ikram MA, Peeters RP, Franco OH. Thyroid function and life expectancy with and without noncommunicable diseases: A population-based study. PLoS Med. 2019 Oct 25;16(10):e1002957. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002957 doi.org/10.1371/journal.pme... . PMID: 31652264; PMCID: PMC6814213.
Age 64.5. Highest TSH tertile life expectancy 1.5(M), 1.5(F) longer than lowest tertile. Lowest fT4 tertile life expectancy 3.7(M), 3.3(F) years longer than highest tertile.
7. van Tienhoven-Wind LJN, Gruppen EG, Sluiter WJ, Bakker SJL, Dullaart RPF. Life expectancy is unaffected by thyroid function parameters in euthyroid subjects: The PREVEND cohort study. Eur J Intern Med. 2017 Dec;46:e36-e39. doi: 10.1016/j.ejim.2017.10.017 ejinme.com/article/S0953-62... . Epub 2017 Nov 6. PMID: 29122438. (Behind a paywall but available on SciHub).
Age 28-75, average age 46. This study found no link between TSH, fT4 and life expectancy in contrast to the next study which used an older subset of the same data.
8. Groothof, D., Flores-Guerrero, J.L., Nolte, I.M. et al. Thyroid function and risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality: a prospective population-based cohort study. Endocrine 71, 385–396 (2021). doi.org/10.1007/s12020-020-... doi.org/10.1161/CIRCRESAHA....
Using the same data as study 7 this study found (in the elderly, age > 70) that fT4 was associated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.18) and strongly associated with cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.61). Higher fT3 was associated with all-cause mortality in females only (HR 1.18) but not with cardiovascular mortality.
This study was the only one to measure fT3 and showed there was a weak tendency for fT3 to increase with fT4. Some of the hazard attributed to fT3 may be due to this correlation with fT4.
This study concludes that due to the phenomenon of regression dilution bias (variables assessed at one time point) the results will be underestimated.