Curve good news: They have "flattened... - Positive Wellbein...

Positive Wellbeing During Self-Isolation

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Curve good news

S11m profile image
S11m
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They have "flattened the curve" to the extent that the NHS is coping.

The curve is now extending - and this, I think, is good news - as it might give us "herd immunity" and, hopefully, prevent a "second wave".

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S11m
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It has started to flatten but there's always a risk of a second wave until a cure is find. Look at China that had the line flat and new cases started up again

S11m profile image
S11m in reply to

The longer the first wave, the less chance there is of a second wave.

in reply to S11m

I am just saying that is a chance for a flare up as the scientists have come out about it

S11m profile image
S11m in reply to

We cannot very well "look at China" because we have very little data that we think we can rely on - more data might have let us learn more about the disease.

China and the USA are large - so if you get "herd Immunity" in one area, and you ease the lockdown before the disease is illuminated, you can get another wave in a different area.

I think there is a degree of "Herd Immunity" in London and New York.

I read that in the 1918 flu pandemic, the second wave was a more deadly mutation - but herd immunity from the first wave gave immunity to the second.

S11m profile image
S11m

I saw a video the other day in which a vet was sailing that Covid-19 would be an unusual coronavirus if there was no immunity.

We get some immunity for some time to individual strains of flu - but it frequently mutates into other forms to which we have no immunity.

Sars Cov2 (which causes Covid-19) has mutated into different forms - but I do not know if immunity to one gives you immunity to all of them.

I think the question is - How much immunity will we get for how long?

Here is a video about "Herd Immunity" for Covid-19:

youtu.be/LahKxReur6I?list=WL

Midori profile image
MidoriVisually impaired

You can't get herd immunity to a brand new virus, as nobody develops the antibodies unless they catch it first, Our best bet is this vaccine, which is still in testing.

Cheers Midori (former nurse)

S11m profile image
S11m in reply to Midori

When we have "Herd Immunity" the Covid-19 virus will no longer be "brand new".

Midori profile image
MidoriVisually impaired

Agreed, but that time is still months away.

S11m profile image
S11m in reply to Midori

Yes - I think "they" say that we will have herd immunity when 30% to 70% of the population have had it or been vaccinated - but the true number of cases might be 50 or 100 times the official diagnosed numbers.

Some countries have 4,000 per million tested positive - and I think herd immunity might start around there somewhere - so we watch to see if any countries get second waves.

Midori profile image
MidoriVisually impaired

Some scientists have said that the immune response which confers immunity is weaker that the normal one, and people can quickly become re infected, so Until an effective vaccine is developed I will be taking no chances, as I have other conditions. So far I have avoided the virus and long may it remain so. :)

Cheers Midori

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