Survival rate with only radiation the... - Advanced Prostate...

Advanced Prostate Cancer

22,875 members28,485 posts

Survival rate with only radiation therapy and no medication

Healing1826 profile image
17 Replies

Hope everyone is doing well. I’m on this site to gather information for my father. He has grade 9 cancer that has spread to nearby lymph nodes. Long story short, he received radiation therapy (RT) and was on hormone therapy for a few months before and during the RT. Now that the RT is finished, he refuses to take further medications, claiming that the side effects could potentially cause other diseases. He also seems to have a misunderstanding that RT alone is sufficient for this stage of cancer.

I’m trying to collect data points to help him understand the situation better. Could you share any articles or research papers that compare survival rates between patients who undergo RT alone and those who receive both RT and hormone therapy? Your help would be greatly appreciated. I’m pretty sure without any medications, he won’t have many years ahead of him, so I’m looking for something specific that I can share with him and hoping he could change his mind.

Written by
Healing1826 profile image
Healing1826
To view profiles and participate in discussions please or .
Read more about...
17 Replies
Tall_Allen profile image
Tall_Allen

This might help:

prostatecancer.news/2022/01...

Xavier10 profile image
Xavier10

Sup to him. They will all fail at some point. But many give years longer. it is really a difficult question

NecessarilySo profile image
NecessarilySo

You might find this information helpful, as I have. There is a graph in this article that shows the different survival rates of continuous ADT vs Intermittent ADT. Generally the survival goes down at about the same rate with either case. After twelve years,, the survival rate levels off at about ten percent. The average survival is around five years.

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/235...

continuous vs. intermittent ADT survival rates graph
Healing1826 profile image
Healing1826 in reply toNecessarilySo

Thanks! I found this very helpful

ulfhbg profile image
ulfhbg

Asked ChatGPT if it can summarize some statistics for patients with high risk and N1 and doing radiation with short term or long term ADT. ChatGPT is of course a tool and shouldn’t be read as ’absolute truth’ but could be good use in dialouge with the experts

The outcomes for high-risk and node-positive (N1) prostate cancer treated with short-term versus long-term androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) combined with radiation therapy vary depending on the studies. Below are some statistics based on clinical trials and meta-analyses:

Local Control and Recurrence

1. Radiation with Short-Term ADT (4-6 months):

• Local control: Around 70-80% at 5 years.

• Biochemical recurrence-free survival (bRFS): 50-60% at 5 years.

• Pelvic lymph node involvement: For N1 disease, the recurrence risk remains higher than localized disease without long-term ADT.

2. Radiation with Long-Term ADT (2-3 years):

• Local control: >85% at 5 years.

• bRFS: 70-75% at 5 years for high-risk patients and up to 80% for intermediate-risk N1 patients.

• Pelvic lymph node involvement (N1): Long-term ADT significantly reduces pelvic recurrence compared to short-term ADT.

Clinical Trials Supporting Local Control and Recurrence:

• RTOG 8531: Showed that long-term ADT (lifetime or 2+ years) improved local control and delayed distant metastases for locally advanced prostate cancer, including N1 cases.

• EORTC 22961: Demonstrated a significant advantage of 36 months of ADT over 6 months in preventing recurrence and improving overall survival.

Overall Survival (OS)

1. High-Risk Non-Nodal Disease:

• With short-term ADT: 70-75% 10-year OS.

• With long-term ADT: 80-85% 10-year OS.

2. Node-Positive Disease (N1):

• With short-term ADT: 55-65% 10-year OS.

• With long-term ADT: 65-75% 10-year OS.

• Meta-analysis: Adding long-term ADT to radiation improves 10-year survival by ~10% compared to radiation with short-term ADT for high-risk or N1 disease.

Clinical Trials Supporting OS:

• STAMPEDE Trial: Long-term ADT combined with docetaxel or abiraterone further improved survival for high-risk or node-positive patients.

• GETUG-AFU 16: Demonstrated improved OS with the addition of 6 months of ADT to radiation for intermediate and high-risk patients, but longer ADT was more effective in N1 cases.

Metastasis-Free Survival (MFS)

1. Short-Term ADT:

• 5-year MFS: ~65-70% for high-risk or N1 disease.

2. Long-Term ADT:

• 5-year MFS: ~80% for high-risk or N1 disease.

• 10-year MFS: 60-70% depending on PSA, Gleason, and T-stage.

Clinical Trials Supporting MFS:

• SPPORT Trial: Boosted metastasis-free survival with long-term ADT plus prostate and pelvic RT compared to prostate-only RT with short-term ADT.

Disease-Specific Survival (DSS)

1. High-Risk Disease (Non-Nodal):

• With short-term ADT: 85-90% 10-year DSS.

• With long-term ADT: 95%+ 10-year DSS.

2. Node-Positive Disease (N1):

• With short-term ADT: 75-80% 10-year DSS.

• With long-term ADT: 85-90% 10-year DSS.

Clinical Trials Supporting DSS:

• DART 01/05: Showed that 28 months of ADT significantly reduced prostate cancer-specific mortality compared to 4 months for high-risk patients.

Conclusion

• For high-risk and N1 prostate cancer, long-term ADT (2-3 years) combined with radiation therapy provides significant benefits in terms of local control, metastasis-free survival, disease-specific survival, and overall survival, compared to short-term ADT (4-6 months).

• Adding newer systemic therapies like abiraterone, enzalutamide, or docetaxel in specific high-risk or N1 settings further improves outcomes.

• Short-term ADT might be appropriate for lower-risk patients or those with significant comorbidities, but long-term ADT remains the standard for N1 disease.

Best wishes - Ulf

Conlig1940 profile image
Conlig1940 in reply toulfhbg

ulfhbg.

Way too much informatioon and complex for the layperson .

Keep it simple . Triplet therapy is the way to go . ADT , Chemo plus Drugs

Healing1826 profile image
Healing1826 in reply toulfhbg

Thank you I appreciate the search

ulfhbg profile image
ulfhbg in reply toHealing1826

Hi !

It at least shows you the actual statistical difference between somebody with high risk N1 cancer having radiation and the significant benefits of doing long term ADT compared to short term.

Then you probably understand that only doing radiation without ADT at all puts you even at worse statistics.

Best wishes - Ulf

Broccoli24 profile image
Broccoli24 in reply toulfhbg

This is great to see… confidence building…thank you.

raisin123 profile image
raisin123

I had my prostate removed 2 years ago and my cancer came back a couple months ago. It is still localized so not the same as your father's but I do have Gleason 9. I am doing radiation only at this point. If it gets worst in the future I always have hormone therapy to fall back on. Hormone therapy does have side effects so taking it isn't without risks.

j-o-h-n profile image
j-o-h-n

Would you please update your dear Dad's bio. All info is voluntary but helps him/you and helps us too especially if it's specific. Thank you!!!.

From your first post "My father is otherwise healthy, a few years from 70 years old".???? That's how I would describe my very best friend in the hole world when I first met a young lady that I liked.

Good Luck, Good Health and Good Humor.

j-o-h-n

NecessarilySo profile image
NecessarilySo

What your father needs, imo, is an understanding of how prostate cancer cells grow, if not controlled. ADT controls the growth of prostate cancer cells by removing testosterone, the primary feeder of PC cells. I once calculated the size of prostate tumors if unchecked.

After one year, a tumor is about the size of a grain of salt.

After two years, it grows to the size of a sesame seed.

After three years, it grows to the size of a walnut.

After four years, it grows to the size of a basketball court.

After five years, it grows to the size of a city.

Of course, one dies before the fourth or fifth year, assuming no control. The immune system does fight against foreign invaders such as cancer, but in a limited way. Nevertheless, without treatment or medication, I would estimate life expectancy to be under four years.

You might also refer to Dr. Patrick Walsh's book, "Guide to Surviving Prostate Cancer", chapter 6, (Diagnosis and Staging). He gives estimates of outcome after prostatectomy (not RT) based on the PSA, Gleason score at biopsy.a nd various stages of the disease.

j-o-h-n profile image
j-o-h-n in reply toNecessarilySo

Basketball court? Cement or Blacktop?

Good Luck, Good Health and Good Humor.

j-o-h-n

NecessarilySo profile image
NecessarilySo in reply toj-o-h-n

I guess hardwood floors are used in indoor courts. I checked my calculations and it was more like a soccerball after four years.

Healing1826 profile image
Healing1826 in reply toNecessarilySo

Thank you!

Nwdx profile image
Nwdx

nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/N...

15 year study ProtecT survival rate for RT, RP and Active Surveillance.

groundhogy profile image
groundhogy

Here is a good website to compare odds of cure for the major treatment paths. You have to determine your stage, low risk, intermediate, or high risk (risk of recurrence). So if you are intermediate, pull up the intermediate chart and you can see the odds of 10-20 yr survival, etc. based on the treatment you pick.

prostatecancerfree.org/comp...

It is best viewed on computer or just print it on paper. Not so viewable on phone.

To make the graphs easier to read, i drew a dot on the endpoints of the elipses, and then drew a line through the dots. This turns the elipses into lines.

Also be aware the the graphs don’t show any salvage radiation benefit. This would boost the surgery odds up a bit.

And, this is a very dysfunctional industry from my view. Loads of bad info mixed in with the good info. Same with the docs. Some of them are more dangerous than the cancer.

Not what you're looking for?

You may also like...

Enzalutamide Drug and no radio therapy.

Hi All, I’m writing on behalf of my Dad (77 years of age). Diagnosed with prostate cancer in...

Supplements and Radiation Therapy

I am 69 and was diagnosed approximately 4 months ago with locally advanced Ductal Adenocarcinoma of...

Testosterone “Flare” (Or Testosterone?) Timing to Optimize Salvage Radiation Therapy

I have referred to the following article a few times in response to some posts about the use and...
MateoBeach profile image

Urgent help needed - dad diagnosed with stage 4 prostate cancer and he is a heart patient with diabetes

Hi - my dad has multiple health conditions and now he is diagnosed with prostate cancer (stage 4)...
SARA_2025 profile image

PSA rising after seemingly effective Hormone Therapy only four months into treatment.

Hello! My father (73) was diagnosed with stage IV prostate cancer six months ago after having lost...
marieluise profile image

Moderation team

Bethishere profile image
BethishereAdministrator
Number6 profile image
Number6Administrator
Darryl profile image
DarrylPartner

Content on HealthUnlocked does not replace the relationship between you and doctors or other healthcare professionals nor the advice you receive from them.

Never delay seeking advice or dialling emergency services because of something that you have read on HealthUnlocked.