Separating the individual from the trend has to be the correct way for a doctor/patient relationship to succeed.
A thing we should all keep in mind when reading these studies. They only explain the overall risk in a patient group for a particular problem; they do not apply in the same way to an individual in that group. You cannot as an individual have 10% AF; you either get it or you don't. And the low extra risk means that most do not get AF in these circumstances. So, as always it is or should be a decision by the patient having been told the risk, to act as they feel is best. I think doctors in these situations ought to advise and honestly display the risk if there (I mean to give the actual approximate figure and not simplistically "you will get AF"), but not dictate that they are therefore going to impose on the patient what they personally think is best.