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Evolving threat - New variants have changed the face of the pandemic. What will the virus do next? - ByKai Kupferschmidt, SCIENCE, 8/19/21.

cujoe profile image
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For those who want to do a deep-dive into the evolutionary processes at work with SAR-coV-2, here is an excellent article from Science.org that explains the processes involved. It was written & published prior to the Omnicron variant being ID'd, but predicts it's likelihood. Viruses and cancer, both evolving to survive our immune defenses - while we're left to try to survive the evolutions of both.

The following passages near then end of the article summarize the unfortunate situation that has led to Omnicron:

* * *

Given all that uncertainty, it’s worrisome that humanity hasn’t done a great job of limiting the spread of SARS-CoV-2, says Eugene Koonin, a researcher at the U.S. National Center for Biotechnology Information. Some dangerous variants may only be possible if the virus hits on a very rare, winning combination of mutations, he says. It might have to replicate an astronomical number of times to get there. “But with all these millions of infected people, it may very well find that combination.”

Indeed, Katzourakis adds, the past 20 months are a warning to never underestimate viral evolution. “Many still see Alpha and Delta as being as bad as things are ever going to get,” he says. “It would be wise to consider them as steps on a possible trajectory that may challenge our public health response further.”

* * *

The full Science article can be found here:

Evolving threat - New variants have changed the face of the pandemic. What will the virus do next? - ByKai Kupferschmidt, 19 Aug 2021.

science.org/content/article...

It goes without saying that we all need to be extra careful as we congregate over the holiday season . . . so, keep being Safe and staying Well. Season's Greetings to All,

Ciao, Captain cujoe

PS Thanks to Aussie HU member marnieg46 for forwarding the article.

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NPfisherman profile image
NPfisherman

Capitano K9 Terror,

I think this is the old "it can go 2 ways"... it could evolve so that there is higher/ greater transmissibility, but decreased virulence, or.... assume the position of submission because we are all screwed... just my 2 cents...

Fish

cujoe profile image
cujoe in reply to NPfisherman

NP, In a reply to a post of this article at the CLLsupport forum, one of the excellent Admins there has provided an Omnicron update from the same Science author, Kai Kupferschmidt. That article can be found here:

science.org/content/article...

Trust you are 100% well again? Hope that is the case. BS /SW - K9

NPfisherman profile image
NPfisherman in reply to cujoe

K9,

Indeed, I am back to normal (whatever that is??)... I guess patience is required as we watch Omicron play out, but it is in short supply after dealing with CoVid for such a time... not much to do, but wait and see...

Take care, amigo... stay on the ship and try not to overindulge... be safe and be well....

Don P

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