Resumption of work commute likely to cause exponential second wave of UK Coronavirus cases.

[2greys]

The resumption of the daily work commute risks returning UK coronavirus cases to an exponential growth, according to new modelling from the University of Sussex's School of Engineering and Informatics.

The lockdown measures introduced on 23 March dramatically slowed the spread of COVID-19 in UK by limiting travel and consequently infections into largely isolated spatial clusters, new research led by Prof Maziar Nekovee at the University of Sussex indicates.

sussex.ac.uk/broadcast/read...

[2greys]

So I am not alone with my thoughts.

[sassy59 in reply to 2greys]

Definitely not. Xxx

[Sunfloweronline in reply to 2greys]

Certainly not

[Shortlungs]

I agree with that also it is scary we will just have to wait and see what happens I live in Scotland so still on lockdown

[Hidden]

I’m still awaiting the potential fall out from the recent VE Day celebrations

[Bkin]

I fear the 2nd wave, just prolonging the life of the virus and extending isolation for many.

Stay safe and keep well everyone.

[Oshgosh]

I’m very glad that I’m not responsible fr making these decisions.we hAve both for masks now and intend to use them.

On a positive note, I put mask and gloves on.we sat n the wall 4 yards apart.

The 2 year said I need a hug. I told her, I can’t give you a hug,those men who talk every teatime will shout at me.

The 6year old said that’s right,I want a hug as well,but willall get in to trouble.the 2 year old said that’s right?

Just proves it’s always best to be open with your children.

[Badbessie]

In many ways we are still stuck in the first wave. The infection rate and death rateis coming down but realistically there are still too many infected people in the community to call this phase over. Their modelling can only be accurate if based on good data. However some scientists believe 3% of the population have been infected but on the news this morning another study stated 30% could have been infected. Without massive testing these types of studies can only give a wide range of predictions.

[vambo]

This seems fairly obvious to me. Still, what do I know. Not much.

[Ergendl]

The people in my local park yesterday, were acting like it was all over. Great to see families enjoying the sun, but sad that there was not much sign of social distancing despite all the signs around. Second wave likely to start rising here very soon.

[2greys in reply to Ergendl]

So sad, if the figures are to be believed we have come a long way, all the progress could be spoiled. I think Bojo has jumped the gun. We were supposed to have Test, Trace, Isolate, capabilities in place before any release of the lockdown. We can only wait and see.

[welllaners]

I watched the commuters get off the buses, no social distancing, so the virus will spread again. Are the Gov. now switching to herd immunity on the quiet?

[2greys]

I think that may have been the plan all along, just slowed down to a point that the figures are at an acceptable level to the public, of course the public will start to get "number fatigue" and begin to not take much notice. If you notice, all along is "the need to not overwhelm the NHS" message, not the need to protect the public until a vaccine arrives.